1. Skip to Menu
  2. Skip to Content
  3. Skip to Footer
Thursday, May 23rd 2013 
4:23am
Cloudy

62°F

Cloudy

Wind: 6 mph

Stay Connected:

FacebookTwitterYoutubeFeed

Hahn Campaign Releases Poll: Hahn 47%, Richardson 26%

View Comments

10:10am | The Janice Hahn Campaign, which is running to represent North Long Beach in Congress against Congressman Laura Richardson, released the following polling memo today:
 
The departure of California Assemblyman Isadore Hall from the 44th Congressional District race last week further establishes Congresswoman Janice Hahn as the clear favorite to win the seat because she is the main beneficiary of Hall’s vote. A survey conducted by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (FM3), shows that over half of Hall’s voters move to Hahn in a two-way match-up with Congresswoman Laura Richardson.
 
The race was widely expected to be a three-way contest between Hall, Richardson, and Hahn. FM3’s survey showed that Hahn was the clear frontrunner in such a three-way primary contest. Yet Hahn’s advantage is just as dominant in a two-way race with Richardson, with Hahn leading by 21 points, 47 percent to 26 percent. (See Figure 1)

Hahn has a substantial lead with voters regardless of political party, age, or gender. She also has a 3-to-1 lead with Latino voters (54 percent to 18 percent)—a key finding in a district where Latino voters are anticipated to equal African American voters in number in the primary election and to represent a larger share of the vote in the general election. Hahn’s lead is even greater among Latinos 50 years of age or older, at 67 percent to 14 percent. Hahn’s lead with Latino voters reflects her own leadership as well as her family legacy in the region. In fact, former L.A. County Supervisor Kenny Hahn is remembered favorably by 60 percent of Latino voters and unfavorably by just five percent (with the remainder too unfamiliar to rate him). He is seen even more favorably by Latinos 50 years of age or older, 68 percent to six percent.

Hahn also leads Richardson in every city within the district and holds a significant advantage in the three most populous geographical areas, which account for 60 percent of the district: the Los Angeles portion (leading by 22 points), the city of Carson (+25), and predominantly Latino South Gate (+50).

Hahn is the prime beneficiary of Hall’s departure. Over half (52 percent) of Hall’s voters move to Hahn, while a lower 35 percent choose Richardson and 13 percent are uncertain. Richardson even fails to get out front of Hahn in Hall’s home base of the City of Compton and with African American voters without Hall in the race.

Hahn’s lead reflects that she is very well-liked in the district, with Hahn earning significantly higher favorable ratings than Richardson. Hahn is viewed favorably by nearly 60 percent of likely voters, while Richardson receives favorable reviews from just 37 percent. Among African Americans, Hahn has a higher favorable rating as well, at 74 percent (to Richardson’s 68 percent). Hahn also leads Richardson in areas that should be Richardson’s home base. In the portion of the district that Richardson currently represents in Congress, Hahn leads by 11 points, 43 percent to 32 percent. In the portion of the district that Richardson previously represented in the State Assembly, Hahn holds an overwhelming 33-point lead (55 percent to 22 percent).

The results show that Janice Hahn is in a strong position to defeat Laura Richardson and win the election in the 44th Congressional District.

on Twitter for latest updates and breaking news.

Share this Story:

Add a Comment:
Archived Comments (25)
RW Crum
26% of the dumbest people on Earth would vote for Laura Richardson.
Goodie
The Hahn family has a history of honestly working for the working family.

Laura Richardson has a history of dishonestly working for Laura Richardson.

Finally we can can have a credible representitive were Laura Richardson WAS.
Richard
Richardson's voting record on important issues is outstanding. What about Hahn? She strikes me as someone ready to compromise - ready to make deals with the bad guys. There is a lot at stake like Social Security and Medicare. Will Hahn stand up for us or her?
All4One
This "poll" should be taken with a grain of salt, as it was released by the Hahn campaign.
Bob
Can't believe26% would voye for Richardson....Time for saliva tests again.
Bixby Knolls Resident
Very interesting..."Richard" as in "Richardson"
Who else would speak the praises of a corrupt politician?
ed wode
Laura is a proven fighter for all lower and middle class causes mentioned and not mentioned here. Hahn is much the opposite as " commented here by "Richard". She also has never been proven guilty of any dishonesty as stated here. This person that makes this claim should be sued for slander.
Jason
Janice Hahn is a horrible politician, getting Richardson out is essential. Richardson is just outright chicago style corrupt, her issues resemble Blagos's problems! Janice Hahn is still a step up from Richardson!
Huh
Politics at its best (worst). Didn't Hah already release this poll last year? More DCBS
larryfinley
isn't this the 37th district?

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/findyourreps.xpd?state=CA&district=37

I think the 44th district is by Dana Point. I feel like a Kurd.
Long Beach Post
@larryfinley
Since redistricting, Long Beach is now split between the newly created 44th and 47th districts.

http://wedrawthelines.ca.gov/maps-final-draft-congressional-districts.html
LB Observed
Not feeling the love for either one...however...interesting that this reads like a press release for the Hahn campaign...could that have anything to do with the fact that one of the Posts owners is a Hahn supporter??? Just wondering....
lbroadking
How could anyone, with any integrity possiblity vote for Richardson? She is an embarrassment to all of us in her district.
LBresident
I think this needs to be said: "Janice Hahn is NO Kenny Hahn" - sorry leaning Richardson.
Right On Hahn!
Janice Hahn comes from a family of noteworthy political involvement. Her father Kenneth Hahn was on th Bd. of Sup. and brought us the paramedic program. Her brother Jim was mayor of LA. She has done a fine job on the city council representing San Pedro. On the other hand the oponent has a marred past of being dishonest, and a slumblord to boot. Who you gonna pick? Experience and Expertise with Hahn, or lies and corrpution from Richardson?
bettysdad
Richardson is a major embarassment to actual liberals, progressives and Democrats.

Her last campaign was based entirely on racism, and she should be turned out for that
Watching 2012
This is a release from the Hahn campaign. They are doing a great job controlling the message about the race. Laura hasn't been doing that as of late. Both would do well for the newly drawn 44th but I give the edge to Hahn. She has more money, less baggage and is well liked in LA County.
ed wode
I'd like to see the proof of any of the inflammatory lies that are printed here about Richardson. Don't believe this negative slander. I know Richardson, her work in congress and her work in the community and both are superb.
Bill of Rights
@ed wode. The most blatant lies about Cong. Richardson are from you.

Anyone can read your remarks in LBPOst here: http://www.lbpost.com/news/staffreports/12995 I called you on them and posted links disproving everything you said.

You never replied.

For those interested, the three posts at issue are located among the article's final eight reader comments.
Fisch
Of course this is a release from the Hahn campaign- do you think the Richardson campaign would release results that make them look bad? It is important to note, however, that the poll was conducted by a third party, not either campaign.

The only thing outstanding about Richardson is the amount of controversy, ethics violations, and criticism she has garnered during what I hope will be her only term in office.
ed wode
To Bill of Rights: I searched the LBP archives and found no staff report 12995. In fact I did't find any numbered reports. I did find your comment on a comment under the LBP's article about assertions of Richardson's culpability for various things, since dismissed by congress, to which you gave comment credence. All that has been dismissed as hogwash. Maybe you haven't noticed. Also, I do not read every article and comment thereon in this paper or any paper. Maybe if you want to comment on a comment, you should publish it as an adjunct in the same article so it won't be missed. Why don't you just say you published a retort in sky writing over the LBP office, if they have one. And it seems this paper should be a little more rigorous about printing claims made before that have been proven to be based on lies and distortion . Especially, if as alleged here in these comments for this article, that the owner is a Hahn supporter. Slander is not in the public domain for newspapers either. I have told no lies, because I have made no assertions except for what is repeated in this comment and which is public knowledge. You are the liar or stupid Mr. or M's Bill of Rights.
Bill of Rights
@ed wode. You can't find it? Seriously, is that your response?

Try using the copy and paste function. I gave you the url.

It includes url/links to articles proving that Cong. Richardson is currently under Ethics Committee investigation. Is that how you define "dismissed as hogwash"?
Bill of Rights
@ed wode. Let me try a different tack. Perhaps you are well intended, but grievously misinformed.

Cong. Richardson has been in the House four years. CREW has named her to its Most Corrupt in Congress list three of those years. Roughly 20-25 are so named each year. CREW is a left-leaning organization. Most of its Most Corrupt members are Republicans. Here is a link: http://www.citizensforethics.org/mostcorrupt/entry/laura-richardson

Don't miss the reader comments from her former press secretary.

Here is a summary of the current Ethics Committee investigation. The vote to investigate was unanimous, after interviewing at least 8 current and former staff members. http://www.thepoliticalguide.com/Profiles/House/California/Laura_Richardson/scandals/Improper_Use_of_Staff_and_Funds/

Be sure to read through the many links, which detail the evidence already in the public domain.

Summary of the previous Ethics Committee investigation, regarding special favors from Washington Mutual. http://www.thepoliticalguide.com/News/What_the_Richardson_Controversy_Tells_Us/

She was exonerated, but only because the congresswoman did not know she got special favors and she denied knowing her loan package was fraudulent. A fascinating, revealing analysis.

More revelations of Capitol hill conduct. Check the reader comments, most purportedly from Congressional staff members. http://www.capitolweekly.net/article.php?xid=yahs5bzduet8va

There have been countless local and national news stories concerning non payment of debts, failure to return government-owned property, misuse of gov't property and other controversies. Here are two, from the LA Times http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/lanow/2008/06/she-may-have-de.html
ed wode
I checked out your latest rant material and it is all hogwash, as I thought. The only one of your URLs that works was the crew and all of that has been discredited, as lies and distortions, as I said before. She is clean and you are not Bill of Rights, proven by this pile of incompetent hogwash you just published addressed to me. That is the end of the story for me. If anybody wants to believe your crap, they are fools. Whatever your real agenda, you're barking up the wrong tree by being unfair to a great courageous woman. Whoever wins this race, I hope its a democrat. We must get the house back to save this country from this insane GOP.
Bil of Rights
@ed wode. Our posts make our respective cases quite eloquently. My (very much working) url's with citations versus your repeated use of the word "hogwash".

Popular Now

See more

New in the Marketplace

See more